Welcome to FXTech’s in-depth technical and fundamental analysis of the NZD/JPY currency pair for October 13-18, 2025. In this comprehensive presentation, we examine current market conditions, key technical levels, fundamental drivers, and provide actionable trading strategies with clear entry, stop loss, and take profit targets.
📊 What You’ll Learn:
Market Overview & Technical Analysis
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Current price action and mixed signals across multiple timeframes
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Performance analysis: 1 week, 1 month, 6 months, YTD, and 1 year
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Critical support and resistance zones defining the trading range
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Double bottom pattern formation at 85.35 support level
Fundamental Analysis
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New Zealand economic factors: RBNZ rate cut (-50bps to 2.5%), widening trade deficit (-14B NZD), GDP contraction
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Japanese Yen strength: Political stability with new PM Takaichi, BoJ policy stance, safe-haven demand
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External pressures: China economic slowdown (4.8% GDP), US-China trade tensions
Trading Strategy
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Short-term outlook (1-2 weeks): Range 85.35 – 87.00
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Mid-term outlook (1-3 months): Bearish trend continuation, range 83.00 – 89.20
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Recommended approach: Sell on rally at 86.78-86.80
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Risk management: Stop loss at 87.50, Take profit at 85.32/85.00
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Risk/Reward ratio: 1:2.1 (favorable for consistent profitability)
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Confirmation and invalidation levels for trade management
🎯 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 86.86 – 87.00 (critical breakout level) Current Price: 86.749 JPY Support: 86.40 (first), 86.00 (second), 85.35 (major – double bottom)
📈 Trading Setup Summary:
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Direction: Bearish Bias
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Entry Zone: 86.78 – 86.80
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Stop Loss: 87.50
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Take Profit 1: 85.32
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Take Profit 2: 85.00
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Risk: ~70 pips
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Reward: ~145 pips
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R:R Ratio: 1:2.1
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Strategy Type: Sell on Rally
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Timeframe: 1-2 Weeks
📰 Key Events Covered (October 13-21, 2025):
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Oct 8: RBNZ cuts OCR by 50bps to 2.5%
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Oct 9: Strong volatility in JPY crosses with commodity currencies
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Oct 13-14: US-China trade war escalation (100% tariff threat)
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Oct 20: China GDP slows to 4.8% in Q3
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Oct 21: NZ trade deficit widens to -14B NZD
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Oct 21: Sanae Takaichi elected as Japan’s new Prime Minister
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer:
Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment. Therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
The analysis and strategies presented in this video are for educational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
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